Next tropical threat lurks near Mexico as Tropical Storm Amanda churns in the Eastern Pacific
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is eyeing an area off the southwestern coast of Mexico for the development of the next tropical depression in the Eastern Pacific after Tropical Storm Amanda formed early Wednesday hundreds of miles from land.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is eyeing an area off the southwestern coast of Mexico for the development of the next tropical depression in the Eastern Pacific after Tropical Storm Amanda formed early Wednesday hundreds of miles from land.
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According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), Tropical Storm Amanda has sustained winds of 40 mph and is moving north-northwest at 9 mph. Amanda developed from Tropical Depression One-E, which was designated Tuesday.
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A tropical storm is a tropical cyclone that has maximum sustained winds between 39 and 73 mph.
Amanda is forecast to remain well out to sea and is expected to begin weakening Friday night.
On Thursday, the NHC increased the odds of development for an area to watch along the southwestern Mexican coast, which now has a high chance of becoming at least a tropical depression over the next seven days.
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Even if the system doesn't make landfall, and regardless of development, the FOX Forecast Center said these storms will bring a widespread 3 to 5 inches of rain across southwestern Mexico over the next 10 days.
A different area to watch farther south still has a medium chance of development over the next seven days.
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Sea surface temperatures near Mexico and farther west into the open Pacific are currently running about 2 to 3 degrees above average — favorable conditions for tropical formation.
"Development at this point in the year is right on schedule, as the first named storm in the East Pacific typically forms around June 10," the FOX Forecast Center said.
These temperatures are consistent with a developing super El Niño climate pattern that is expected to play a dominant role this hurricane season, likely increasing tropical activity in the Eastern Pacific, while simultaneously suppressing tropical development in the Atlantic.
The Eastern Pacific averages around 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes each season.
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