Hurricane Isaias strengthens to Category 2 storm, evacuations expand across Gulf ahead of dangerous landfall
Hurricane Isaias is continuing to strengthen in the Gulf after becoming the first Atlantic hurricane of the season and is forecast to make landfall along the northern Gulf Coast later this week as a dangerous Category 2 hurricane.
THE TAKEAWAY
Hurricane Isaias is continuing to strengthen in the Gulf after becoming the first Atlantic hurricane of the season and expected to make landfall along the northern Gulf Coast later this week as a dangerous Category 2 hurricane.
Isaias is expected to approach the coast by Friday, with landfall currently estimated to be sometime late Friday or early Saturday between Gulf Shores, Alabama, and Pensacola, Florida.
Isaias strengthened from a Category 1 to a Category 2 hurricane on Thursday, with sustained winds of 100 mph as it moves northeast at 12 mph.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey and Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp have declared states of emergency ahead of the storm.
In a Thursday press conference, DeSantis urged residents to prepare now, including filling up their gas tanks and stocking up on enough water and nonperishable food to last through a potential power outage.
"If you are in the Panhandle, assume that you are going to lose power," DeSantis said. "Prepare to lose power. That is likely to happen with a storm that is at hurricane status."
Over a dozen Florida and Alabama counties have canceled school through the end of the week, and multiple colleges have closed their campuses.
Meanwhile, evacuation orders have been issued for Dauphin Island in Alabama, as well as Okaloosa and Escambia counties in Florida.
Mandatory evacuation orders have also been issued in Walton County, Florida.
The Alabama beach towns of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach released a joint statement urging voluntary evacuations ahead of Isaias' arrival.
"In anticipation of the expected impacts from Tropical Storm Isaias, the cities of Gulf Shores and Orange Beach are encouraging all non‑residents, and residents living in low-lying, flood prone areas to voluntarily evacuate," the statement said. "City officials urge all individuals who are not permanent residents to leave the area immediately and relocate to a safer location."
Both Shell and Chevron have instituted shut-in production procedures across five of their offshore oil facilities in the Gulf and removed non-essential workers, respectively.
BP said it was also removing non-essential personnel and securing offshore facilities. ExxonMobil operations are currently normal, but they are monitoring the forecast closely.
HURRICANE ISAIAS CHURNS IN GULF AS OIL RIGS PREPARE FOR POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
Hurricane Isaias strengthened from Tropical Storm Isaias late Wednesday night.
In their Wednesday 11 p.m. update, the National Hurricane Center kept Isaias at tropical storm strength. About 30 minutes later, they released a special advisory stating that Isaias had indeed strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane.
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Isaias rapidly intensified from a tropical storm into a Category 1 hurricane, with winds increasing by 40 mph in just 6 hours between Wednesday afternoon and late Wednesday night.
Isaias' forecast cone shows it heading directly toward the northern Gulf Coast, with impacts centered over roughly 30 million people in Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi and the Florida Panhandle.
Tropical weather advisories have expanded inland, across parts of southern Alabama and southwestern Georgia.
A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Ocean Springs, Mississippi, to the Bay/Gulf County Line in Florida.
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A Storm Surge Warning is also in effect from the mouth of the Mississippi to the Suwannee River in Florida's Big Bend region.
"The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline," the NHC said.
Currently, between 5 and 7 feet of surge is forecast for Mobile Bay and from Ocean Springs, Mississippi, to Indian Pass, Florida.
Heavy rain is expected to begin on Friday, with flash flooding, damaging wind gusts, storm surge and even tornadoes possible as the storm comes ashore.
Hurricane Hunters are continuing to conduct regular reconnaissance missions into Hurricane Isaias to collect the latest forecast data.
"The eye of Isaias has become apparent on visible and infrared satellite imagery," the NHC said. "Interestingly, this is the first eye noted on satellite pictures in the Atlantic basin during the 2026 Hurricane Season."
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The storm is expected to continue to strengthen early Friday, with heavy rain reaching parts of the Gulf Coast as early as Friday morning.
"Residents from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle should closely monitor the latest forecast updates and ensure they have their hurricane plan in place," the NHC said.
FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross noted that several dynamic factors still remain at play, which will determine how strong and exactly where Isaias will make landfall, namely the storm's angle of approach and how the winds will impact the storm as it comes ashore.
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Some forecast models show Isaias weakening at landfall, while others show the storm strengthening as strong winds high in the atmosphere interact with it from the north.
Norcross said most of the storm's most impactful weather will most likely be on the right side of the storm's center.
Meanwhile, NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has issued a flash flood risk for Friday across portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, as well as southern portions of Tennessee, southwestern North Carolina and western South Carolina.
A Level 3 out of 4 flash flood risk covers Mobile, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle west of Panama City. A Level 2 risk includes Atlanta and Montgomery, Alabama, and eventually shifts inland into Saturday to include the Carolinas and Tennessee Valley.
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"Rainfall estimates currently show 6 to 10 inches with localized higher amounts which will lead to flash and urban flooding and eventually river flooding," the FOX Forecast Center said.
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Level 2 out of 5 risk of severe weather for Saturday across southern Alabama and into the Florida Panhandle, with a particular threat of tornadoes as the storm's outer bands come ashore.
TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS CHURNS IN GULF AS OIL RIGS PREPARE FOR POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
The system is expected to move inland quickly with heavy rain spreading across the Southeast Saturday, triggering a broad Level 2 flash flood risk from some places along the Mississippi River to the Southeast coast.
This story is developing. Check back frequently for updates.
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